expert’s dilemma
a problem faced by a person with specialized expertise in any area, in which the implications of the opinion are unpopular and likely to be rejected by those who need that expertise. for example, economists may be likely to know that, in some cases, a “market solution” is inherently impossible, but proposing an alternative is an exercise not merely in futility, but career suicide among those who employ economists. it arises because the expert knows more about the field than her employers.
the statistician was asked by his boss to make a case for risk homeostasis, but knowing better, he faced an expert’s dilemma: telling the truth would get him tarred as a ‘socialist.’
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