postdiction
brian miller writes: postdiction is an explanation after the event: the lamest and laziest form of prophecy.
in skepticism, it is considered an effect of hindsight-bias that (only afterwards) explains claimed predictions of significant events.
happens often at race-tracks and masked wine tastings.
larry lockshin adds: “i knew it.” used extensively in business case studies, which often purport to cause and effect: they did this, and that happened.
it is not a predictor of outcomes for those following the claims.
a typical postdiction might be:
it was after i switched from corn flakes to rice krispies that women started to notice me. you should try rice krispies. they could work for you too…
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